PFAPillar 03 · System Security

Probabilistic Frequency Assessment.

How many hours below the inertia floor — and which zones drive them?

PFA ingests a stochastic market dispatch, computes hour-by-hour system inertia, and tests it against the inertia, frequency-response and RoCoF limits across multi-year scenarios — then maps the gap onto the network.

Hourly inertia profileFive inertia componentsInertia · FRCR · RoCoFGIS zonal layer
797 h/yrHours below limit
85 GVA·sMin system inertia
0.43 Hz/sWorst-case RoCoF
410 MWFRCR shortfall
The signature output

A year of inertia, hour by hour.

Total system inertia across the year against the statutory inertia limit and RoCoF floor. Every hour beneath the line is a security exposure to be priced and located.

Total system inertia · stochastic profile · Net-Zero scenario
Below-floor hours concentrate in low-demand, high-renewable periods. PFA ranks the best synchronous-condenser and grid-forming candidates by electrical distance to the deficit.
Inside the engine

From dispatch to a located inertia gap.

01

Stochastic profile

Ingests the market dispatch and computes system inertia hour by hour.

02

Five components

DG, transmission generation, demand, base and total — each plottable separately.

03

Three limit checks

Inertia floor, frequency-response shortfall and RoCoF (Hz/s) screened across all hours.

04

Zonal layer

Maps the inertia gap onto the network and ranks the best mitigation sites.

The read

A handful of zones absorb the majority of below-floor hours — PFA flags the best synchronous-condenser and grid-forming sites, ranked by electrical distance to the deficit.